The University of Florida's Election Lab reported on October 23, 2026, that almost 21 million people had cast early ballots in the midterms, up about 2 million in a day. Reporting since puts the count above 33 million, roughly 45 percent Democratic and 30 percent Republican where party is reported, and Hispanic turnout at more than double the same day in 2022. The discussion stresses that early numbers do not predict outcomes, and Data Republican is withholding new state early-vote tools from X out of fear of hurting MAGA morale.