On October 30, 2026, the Cook Political Report shifted 19 House races toward Democrats, six from toss-up to lean Democrat, and projected gains of 12 to 22 seats. Cook now gives Democrats an advantage in 220 districts, two past the 218 needed for a majority, and rates seven Senate races toss-up. The discussion has moved to where Democrats are spending: North Carolina 9, the NRCC chairman's district, and New York 21. Kalshi puts Democrats at roughly 65 percent for the Senate and 91 percent for the House.