Florida's Division of Elections reported 418,000 mail ballots cast on October 14, 2026, about 5.6 percent of expected turnout, with Democrats at 43 percent and Republicans at 35.5 percent. The first read framed that as a 4.5-point shift from 2024, when Kamala Harris won early votes 60-40 and Trump still carried the state by 13 points. Later reporting holds that mail-in returns are running more Republican than in 2024, with Republicans leading return rates, while early voters who skipped the last four elections are turning out heavily and lean Democratic. About 120,000 Republicans and 80,000 Democrats who voted on Election Day 2024 have already voted early. The governor's race and Ashley Moody's Senate bid remain in the balance.