Forest's expected points gap

Sports · Heat 1.7 / 10 · 2 shows · 4m airtime

Nottingham Forest drew with Ipswich on October 25, 2026, leaving Oliver Glasner's side 18th in the Premier League despite leading the league on expected points. Earlier in the season Forest were in the bottom three and had not scored at home. The discussion weighs whether the gap is a fixable finishing problem or a feature of the team, and whether Evangelos Marinakis will give Glasner time to find out. Liam Delap's one goal from 21 shots is the focus of the finishing question.

How 2 podcasts covered it

1. The Athletic FC Podcast, 2026-10-19 (34:44 to 36:00)
   Questions the pressure on Glasner after home boos
   Turns to the pressure on Glasner after Forest were booed off by home fans, noting they are in the bottom three and have not scored at home, and that the club had already sacked two managers by this date last season. Tharme argues the attacking options are there but hard to fit into a 3-4-3.
   New angle: Forest are in the bottom three and have not scored at home this season.
2. Men In Blazers, 2026-10-26 (1:18:46 to 1:21:33)
   Weighs Forest's expected-points gap
   Opens a new story: Forest top the expected-points table but sit 18th after drawing Ipswich. Weighs whether the finishing gap is a bug or a feature, with Delap's one goal from 21 shots as the evidence, and questions how long Marinakis will wait.
   New angle: Forest lead the league on expected points but sit 18th on actual points; Delap has one goal from 21 shots.