Kansas Senate poll

News · Heat 7.1 / 10 · 2 shows · 5m airtime

New Kansas polling released in late October 2026 shows challenger Adam Hamilton leading incumbent Roger Marshall 49 to 45, a result tied to Trump canceling a Kansas rally in favor of Florida. A Washington Post poll puts Hamilton at 52 and Marshall at 43, with 32 percent of Democrats finishing the ballot against 12 percent of Republicans. The discussion has moved from the head-to-head margin to that completion gap, which the closer reads treat as the more telling number.

How 2 podcasts covered it

1. Legal AF by MeidasTouch, 2026-10-30 (4:04 to 5:15)
   Plays Trump clip against new Kansas polling
   Plays a clip of Trump mocking a reporter and explaining he is skipping Kansas for Florida, then sets it against new Kansas polling that puts Adam Hamilton ahead of Roger Marshall 49 to 45.
   New angle: New Kansas polling shows Adam Hamilton leading Roger Marshall 49 to 45.
2. The Bulwark Daily, 2026-10-30 (42:33 to 46:14)
   Questions a Kansas poll's non-response problem
   Picks up a second Kansas poll, a Washington Post survey with Hamilton at 52 and Marshall at 43, and spends most of the segment on its non-response problem: 32 percent of Democrats finished the survey versus 12 percent of Republicans, leaving it essentially unweightable. Reads it as either a polling failure or a sign of a tsunami.
   New angle: A Washington Post poll has Hamilton at 52 and Marshall at 43, with 32 percent of Democrats finishing versus 12 percent of Republicans.