Polling released in the week before the 2026 midterms shows Sherrod Brown's Ohio Senate lead over John Husted narrowing, with Brown's support stuck at 47 percent and his lead nearly halved from plus 3.2. Republican polling puts Brown's unfavorable rating above 50 percent for the first time. The discussion centers on whether 47 percent is a ceiling for Brown, and on Trump and Jon Gruden campaigning for Husted. Prediction markets put Brown at 66 to 70 percent, rising since mid-October, leaving the polls and the markets telling different stories.